Predict the world's biggest soccer event. Earn the chance to manage a $1,000,000 portfolio.

The most accurate forecaster wins the opportunity to manage a $1M trading portfolio with Jump Trading!

OPEN 12D 04H 18M
ARG vs FRA

Will Argentina defeat France?

Your odds
58%
Drag to set your probability
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Try it

Don't pick a winner. Price the probability.

Drag the slider. There's no right answer in the moment — what matters is accuracy, on average, across hundreds of questions.

  • Accuracy wins. The more calibrated your forecast, the higher you climb.
  • No single lucky pick wins a tournament. Consistency is the edge.
  • Use any tool, model, or source. We score the forecast, not the method.
SportsPredict app home screen showing the featured Italy vs Spain match
The Prize

The Jump Trading Probability Fellowship.

Jump Trading built one of the world's top quant firms by finding people who think in probabilities, not pedigrees. They're putting their money where their mouth is.

  • No résumé required

    Your score is the credential. Hard to fake and yours to keep.

  • Open to anyone, anywhere

    The world's biggest soccer stage. The most level playing field in finance.

  • A verifiable edge

    Prove your predictive skill on a global stage, in front of one of the world's top trading firms.

Leaderboard

A global competition. Where will you rank?

The global leaderboard opens on June 11. Every match, every question, every forecast counts toward your rank. This is what it will look like.

Claim Your Spot →
Research

Use anything you want.

We score the forecast, not how you got there. Bring any tool, model, or source — public information is fair game.

Team newsThe Athletic · BBC Sport · ESPN FC
WeatherAccuWeather · Windy · venue forecasts
Betting marketsPinnacle · Betfair Exchange · OddsPortal
Statistical modelsFiveThirtyEight · Opta · FBref · Understat
AI toolsChatGPT · Claude · Gemini · Perplexity
Expert analysisTifo Football · Tactical Times · podcasts
FAQ

Plain answers.

Got a question we haven't covered?
Email the team.

June 11 · Kickoff

The first whistle is coming.

Enter free. Price the probabilities. Climb the global leaderboard. The most accurate forecaster earns the chance to manage a $1,000,000 trading portfolio with Jump Trading.

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